Sunday, January 10, 2010

2010 Predictions

Image by rakka
I've been having trouble coming up with interesting predictions. It's easy to predict things that are virtually certain to happen (I'm certain my New Years cold will go away eventually, even though I'm not taking any vitamin C or E or echinacea or gingko biloba or zinc). I'm far from 100% certain that any of these things will happen in 2010, but I think they all have a greater than 50% change of becoming true:
  1. The Democrats will lose 7 or 8 seats in the Senate in the November 2010 election.
  2. There will be a kerfuffle when images supposedly from airport backskatter X-ray machines are leaked to the Internet.
  3. A Schleck will win the Tour De France.
  4. The president will sign a Cash for Caulkers bill.
  5. More than 100 banks will fail in the US.
  6. General Motors will sell fewer cars than they sold in 2009.
  7. Ford and Toyota will sell more cars than they sold in 2009.
  8. We'll have a white Christmas.
  9. Spring Town Meeting will last 5 or fewer nights.
  10. Amherst will pass an override.


Anonymous said...

Wow, you've gone way out on a limb here. Congratulations for being gutsy.

But I don't see these:
1) 5 nights for Town Meeting; methinks the Empire will strike back on this; I see more than 8 coming.
2) Amherst will pass an override: if so, the proponents are getting out of the box poorly at the outset.

My sense is that these two are related: i.e. if the override does not pass, no way we can get down to 5 nights fighting about the crumbs.

I'm running this spring, and the folks who hate me can send me for another term in purgatory.

But I'll be giving you the credit if you call these.

Andy Schleck? Hmmmm......

Rich Morse

Larry Kelley said...

Depends on the amount of the Override: $1million, yes

But if they get greedy...