Showing posts with label Money. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Money. Show all posts

Wednesday, March 06, 2024

It's doing that thing again...

Every few years I think to myself: here we go again: Bitcoin is doing that thing where the price goes up, news stories get written about how the Bitcoin price is at an all-time high, more people get excited about it because the price is going up, driving it even higher, making more people excited...

... until something bad happens or speculators get bored and decide to cash out and buy something else they think will be The Thing.

I'm thinking that's happening right now. And I think it will happen again in a few years; I'm not sure the Bitcoin price will ever be stable if it just functions as a place to park I-don't-know-what-to-spend-it-on-right-now wealth.

Thirteen years ago, when one BTC was selling for under a dollar, I said:

"There's a small possibility that in 50 years Bitcoin replaces the dollar as the world's reserve currency."

Today I think I'd say "significant possibility." And I think there is a pretty high chance some cryptocurrency or basket of cryptocurrencies replaces the US dollar as the world's reserve currency in the next forty years.


Monday, July 27, 2020

Tax Big Spenders

The US federal tax system is terrible. It is inefficient, complicated and unfair.

How about we replace it all with something simple and fair, like this:

Impose a national luxury tax on all goods and services that cost more than $100. Define "luxury" as "costs more than the median sales price of similar goods or services," and calculate the tax based on the difference in the sales price and that median price.

For example, according to Google the median new car price in the US is $37,876. Let say the national luxury tax was 20% and you buy a new car that cost $35,000. You'd owe nothing.

Your rich cousin Betty buys a loaded Range Rover for $137,876? she'd owe $20,000 in luxury taxes (twenty percent of $100,000).

Want to avoid paying taxes? Easy, don't spend your money on expensive stuff. Drive a reliable car, don't spend money on fancy jewelry or 80-year-old scotch or extravagant vacations.

Taxing higher-than-normal spending seems to me to be the least offensive form of taxation. We would be encouraging people to live more frugally, and discouraging them from playing expensive, wasteful status-seeking games. I'm not naive-- rich people would still buy vacation houses and million-dollar supercars to show off their wealth, and plenty of middle-class people would occasionally buy their spouses a fancy diamond necklace for Christmas. They'd just have to pay extra.

Businesses would have to calculate and collect the tax, but that shouldn't be terribly difficult. State sales taxes already require that businesses figure out if what they are selling is taxable or not; asking them to report on what they're selling, for how much (to establish the list of median prices and make sure they're collecting the right amount of tax) isn't much of a stretch. And we already have extensive lists of product categories that are used to assess tariffs when products are imported.

It seems to me both people on the left and people on the right might go for this kind of tax. Lefties should like that it is progressive-- poor people don't buy fancy stuff, so they should end up paying no taxes. Righties should like that it is simple and transparent; the amount you pay will be right there in plain sight when you buy something. No sneaky payroll tax deductions, filling out forms on April 15th or huge IRS bureaucracy interpreting thousands of pages of tax law.

Maybe handle death taxes the same way; if you leave more than the median inheritance to your children, tax the amount over the median. Yes, I know that could be double taxation (the kids might pay again if they spend the money on expensive crap), but it seems fair to me. I'm not a fan of spoiled rich kids who never have to work because their great-grandfather was a brilliant businessman.


Sunday, March 15, 2009

A Free Market take on the Crisis

If you're interested in the financial crisis and have time to listen to an hour-long talk, I highly recommend Peter Schiff's talk about the dot-com and real estate bubbles, the financial mess, and how we're going to screw the Chinese (and other foreign Treasury debt-holders). Get the MP3 file here.

He's a compelling speaker-- funny and direct and good at cutting through the bullshit and laying out the radically free-market, "stop bailing out Big Business, just let them fail" position. I don't agree with everything he says, but I agree with most of it, and his opinion about what's going to happen to the US economy over the next few years is making me rethink my own personal investment strategies.