tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12429580.post1814859540923205117..comments2024-03-26T06:28:09.125-04:00Comments on GavinThink: One quarter of a micromortGavin Andresenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10105284501947275111noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12429580.post-39424031427579007692012-11-12T11:47:18.031-05:002012-11-12T11:47:18.031-05:00RE: paying for a micromort-o-metrology office:
Ma...RE: paying for a micromort-o-metrology office:<br /><br />Maybe if we had a better understanding of the comparative risks of things we'd spend a lot less money on stuff like Wars on Terror or Drugs.<br /><br />So a micromort-o-metrology office might be a great investment.<br />Gavin Andresenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10105284501947275111noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12429580.post-37494896321236726252012-11-12T06:03:23.513-05:002012-11-12T06:03:23.513-05:00Health officials would need whole new department o...Health officials would need whole new department of micromort-o-metrology then. And who is going to pay for that?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12429580.post-72046384163445734252012-11-12T06:02:36.015-05:002012-11-12T06:02:36.015-05:00Perhaps interesting to note: you can only sum the ...Perhaps interesting to note: you can only sum the risk of separate events as long as you're talking about small risks. For large risks, summing them is an overestimate.<br /><br />For example, the combined chance of dying when you do two things which individually give a 50% chance of dying is not 100% but 75%.<br /><br />For chances as small as a micromort you can safely add them because 1-(1-p)(1-q) = q+p-qp ~= p+q for very small p and q.Wim Coenenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16314282132983289163noreply@blogger.com